Perspectivas de la economía mundial, abril de 2016

Major macroeconomic realignments are affecting prospects differentially across the world’s countries and regions. The April 2016 WEO examines the causes and implications of these realignments—including the slowdown and rebalancing in China, a further decline in commodity prices, a related slowdown in investment and trade, and declining capital flows to emerging market and developing economies—which are generating substantial uncertainty and affecting the outlook for the global economy. Additionally, analytical chapters examine the slowdown in capital flows to emerging market economies...

The global upswing in economic activity is strengthening. Global growth, which in 2016 was the weakest since the global financial crisis at 3.2 percent, is projected to rise to 3.6 percent in 2017 and to 3.7 percent in 2018. The growth forecasts for both 2017 and 2018 are 0.1 percentage point stronger compared with projections earlier this year. Broad-based upward revisions in the euro area, Japan, emerging Asia, emerging Europe, and Russia—where growth outcomes in the first half of 2017 were better than expected—more than offset downward revisions for the United States and the United...

The upswing in global investment and trade continued in the second half of 2017. At 3.8 percent, global growth in 2017 was the fastest since 2011. With financial conditions still supportive, global growth is expected to tick up to a 3.9 percent rate in both 2018 and 2019. Advanced economies will grow faster than potential this year and next; euro area economies are set to narrow excess capacity with support from accommodative monetary policy, and expansionary fiscal policy will drive the US economy above full employment. Aggregate growth in emerging market and developing economies is...

En el libro Enseña a su equipo a pescar, Laurie Beth Jones, la autora del éxito en ventas del New York Times, Jesús, CEO, nos explica cómo las enseñanzas de Jesús pueden ser usadas para obtener un mejor rendimiento laboral. Jones se enfoca en una de las áreas más críticas cuando se nos llama a dirigir: el trabajo en equipo. Líderes de negocios y entrenadores, maestros y padres, pastores y organizadores voluntarios aprenderán a desarrollar un equipo exitoso que impactará al mundo usando las destrezas implementadas por el mayor líder y maestro de todos los tiempos: Jesucristo.

Obra estructurada en dos partes, la primera parte revisa el vínculo existente entre el capital social y el desarrollo incidiendo en la idea de que la red de relaciones, la confianza social derivada de esas relaciones o el grado de asociacionismo de las comunidades se convierten en la base que sustenta el desarrollo local. La segunda parte se centra en los aspectos más prácticos del desarrollo local deteniéndose en el análisis de estudio de caso que ilustran o describen los problemas encontrados en la ejecución de este tipo de proyectos.

Recoge: Aspectos básicos de las relaciones financieras internacionales; Equilibrio general en un modelo real y en un modelo monetario; Ajuste internacional con movimientos de capitales autónomos; El ajuste internacional y el desempleo; Tarifas aduaneras, paridad del poder de compra y política cambiaria; El sistema monetario internacional.

Interest in social spending issues has intensified over the last decade. This reflects concerns about rising inequality and the need to support vulnerable groups, especially in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. In line with this, the Fund has also increased its engagement on social spending issues. This paper outlines a strategy to guide IMF engagement on social spending issues going forward.